Back to the Future: 10Mbps by 2012, or, What Japan Had Years Ago

marketshare.gif Creeping ahead:
A study from Texas-based research firm Parks Associates predicts that 33 million US households will have broadband connections of 10Mbps or faster by 2012. As of the end of 2007, that figure stood at 5.7 million, which means that a lot of change will have to occur in the US market for that 33 million figure to become a reality.

Report: 10Mbps broadband in 33 million homes by 2012, By Eric Bangeman, ars technica, Published: March 04, 2008 – 10:20PM CT

Meanwhile, Japan is already doing 100Mbps. But in Japan there is real ISP competition. Unlike in the U.S., where, as shown in the pie chart by Park Associates (via DSL Reports), each of Comcast and AT&T have a fifth of the broadband market, followed by Verizon and Time Warner each with 13%, plus Cox with 7%, and that’s 3/4 of the total market served by only five companies, of whom most people have a choice of only two in any given locality. That’s not competition.


One thought on “Back to the Future: 10Mbps by 2012, or, What Japan Had Years Ago

  1. Dan needs cable internet in vancouver

    Let me add something:
    Given the advent of DOCSIS 3.0 in the US and the continued rollout of FiOS and U-verse, the 33 million figure given by Parks is a very real possibility for 2012. Unfortunately, the 10Mbps-plus goodness is unlikely to be spread around evenly. In areas where a fiber-loving telecom is going head-to-head with a cable company (think Verizon FiOS vs. Comcast High Speed Internet in Boston), we’ll see a concentration of homes with superfast broadband. But those living in areas with little high-speed competition (like Denver, which is served by Qwest) are likely to be stuck with single-digit broadband speeds when 2012 rolls around.

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